The 2011 Fil-Oil Flying V Pre-season Premier Cup Semifinals Picture

Updated as of June 1, 2011

Group B's top four teams are all set, and so all eyes now turn to the two Group A matches on Saturday, June 4, to see how the semi-finals will shake out. UST vs SBC will take place first at 12:30pm, while ADMU vs DLSU will clash at 4pm, and both games' results will impact the standings. 

SCENARIO 1

• San Beda beats UST: SBC improves to 5-2, UST slumps to 3-4
• Ateneo beats La Salle: ADMU improves to 6-1, DLSU slumps to 3-4

1. ADMU (6-1) 
2. SBC (5-2) - San Beda owns the tiebreaker over SSC-R, having beaten them 97-81
3. SSC-R (5-2)
4. NU (4-3)
5. UST (3-4) - UST owns the tiebreaker over DLSU, having beaten them 79-70
6. DLSU (3-4)

SCENARIO 2

• San Beda beats UST: SBC improves to 5-2, UST slumps to 3-4
• La Salle beats Ateneo: DLSU improves to 4-3, ADMU slumps to 5-2

1. SBC (5-2) - San Beda's quotient is 1.076
2. ADMU (5-2) - Ateneo's quotient is 1.013
3. SSC-R (5-2) - Baste's quotient is 0.911 
4. DLSU (4-3) - La Salle owns the tiebreaker over NU, having beaten them 81-74
5. NU (4-3)
6. UST (3-4)

SCENARIO 3

• UST beats San Beda: UST improves to 4-3, SBC slumps to 4-3
• Ateneo beats La Salle: ADMU improves to 6-1, DLSU slumps to 3-4

1. ADMU (6-1)
2. SSC-R (5-2)
3. NU (4-3) - NU's quotient is 1.083, and barring an extremely large blowout, UST cannot match that
4. UST/SBC (4-3) - depending on the margin of victory 
5. UST/SBC (4-3) - depending on the margin of victory
6. DLSU (3-4) 

• By my Math, UST needs to beat SBC by at least 6 points to get #4

SCENARIO 4

• UST beats San Beda: UST improves to 4-3, SBC slumps to 4-3
• La Salle beats Ateneo: DLSU improves to 4-3, ADMU slumps to 5-2

1. SSC-R (5-2), SSC-R owns the tiebreaker, having beaten ADMU 73-72
2. ADMU (5-2)
3. NU/UST (4-3) 
4. NU/UST (4-3) 
5. SBC/DLSU (4-3) 
6. SBC/DLSU (4-3) 

• NU's quotient is 1.019
• DLSU's quotient is 0.982
• UST and SBC's quotients depend on the margin of victory

NOTES

• There are two scenarios (1 and 3) in which Ateneo gets #1
• There is one scenario (4) in which SSC-R gets #1
• UST is in a precarious situation, needing to blow out San Beda to increase their chances of making it into the top 4 (scenarios 3 and 4)
• DLSU's only shot of making the Final Four is scenario two, also the only scenario where SBC becomes number one. 
• Winning ensures SBC is in the top four (scenarios 1 and 2). Otherwise, they have an outside shot at sneaking in, even if they lose to UST, in scenario 3.